DeepMind says new AI is world’s most accurate 10-day weather forecaster

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Thomas Macaulay
2023-11-14 10:00:57

A new AI model from Google DeepMind is the world’s most accurate 10-day global weather forecasting system, according to the London-based lab.

Named GraphCast, the model promises medium-range weather forecasts of “unprecedented accuracy.” In research published today, GraphCast was found to be more precise and faster than the industry gold standard for weather simulation, the High-Resolution Forecast (HRES).

The system also predicted extreme weather further into the future than was previously possible. These insights were analysed by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), an intergovernmental organisation that produces the HRES.

A live version of Graphcast was deployed on the ECMWF website. In September, the system accurately predicted that Hurricane Lee would make landfall in Nova Scotia around nine days before it happened.

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In contrast, traditional forecasting methods only spotlighted Nova Scotia around six days in advance. They also provided less consistent predictions of the time and location of landfall.