![Resident Alien: Season Two [DVD]](https://techcratic.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/71m7ApnkLcL._SL1500_-360x180.jpg)
Julia Wendling
2025-06-17 06:33:00
www.visualcapitalist.com
Breaking Down the $450B of Trade Destruction from U.S. Tariffs
On May 12th, 2025, the Trump administration announced a new wave of tariffs on much of the world. The impact on global trade could be massive in the years ahead.
This graphic, created in partnership with the Hinrich Foundation, shows the dollar value of expected trade destruction by economy. It uses data from the UN’s TINA model.
Trump 2.0 Tariffs
Since taking office in late January, President Trump has prioritized disrupting global trade to support domestic industries across America. While tariff details shift frequently, the message is clear: globalization is under threat.
So far, most countries face a 10% tariff. The U.S. has chosen to hit key trading partners—like China, Canada, and Mexico—and industries, such as dairy and lumber, with even steeper penalties.
Trade Destruction: UN Estimates
To measure the long-term impact of the tariffs, the UN estimated trade destruction—also known in econometric terms as “negative trade creation”—by country economy.
Estimates are based on expected changes in import demand, factoring in tariff rates, initial import volumes, and supply and demand elasticities.
The total projected trade loss is a staggering $450 billion. The biggest hits are expected in China (-$156.6 billion), the EU (-$92.6 billion), and Japan (-$27.7 billion). Canada and Mexico, targets of an earlier set of tariffs, were excluded by the UN from this dataset.
| Rank | Affected Economy | Trade Destruction ($ trillions) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  China |
156.6 |
| 2 |  EU |
92.6 |
| 3 |  Japan |
27.7 |
| 4 |  Vietnam |
22.5 |
| 5 |  South Korea |
22.2 |
| 6 |  India |
14.6 |
| 7 |  Thailand |
10.3 |
| 8 |  UK |
9.1 |
| 9 |  Brazil |
8.7 |
| 10 |  Indonesia |
6.8 |
| Other | 78.9 | |
| Total | 450.1 |
The expected hit to trade will also adversely impact the domestic economy. The Tax Foundation estimates that Trump 2.0 tariffs are will lower U.S. real GDP by 0.8% over the next decade.
The Future of Global Trade
Globalization and the rise of global trade have fueled economic growth worldwide. By enabling countries to specialize based on comparative advantage, trade made goods more affordable and widely available.
Now, that landscape is shifting. The Trump administration’s tariff policies signal a significant turn in global trade strategy, with far-reaching implications for how countries engage in commerce moving forward.
var disqus_shortname = “visualcapitalist.disqus.com”;
var disqus_title = “Breaking Down the $450 Billion of Trade Destruction from U.S. Tariffs”;
var disqus_url = “https://www.visualcapitalist.com/sp/breaking-down-the-450-billion-of-trade-destruction-from-u-s-tariffs-hf06/”;
var disqus_identifier = “visualcapitalist.disqus.com-178580”;
-
Economy2 months agoRanked: America’s Services Trade Balances
America’s goods trade deficits have dominated headlines, but a critical part of the equation is being ignored: services trade.
-
AI3 months agoVisualized: All of the World’s Data
More data will be created, captured, and replicated in the next three years than in the rest of human history. But by how much?
-
Economy4 months agoVisualized: The Growing Opportunities in Global Trade Careers
Visual Capitalist has partnered with the Hinrich Foundation to explore the landscape of global trade and find out what students and trade professionals can do to…
-
Green4 months agoRanked: CO₂ Emissions Per Person in 30 Economies
CO₂ emissions are reshaping the flows of international trade. Which countries have the highest and lowest CO₂ emissions per capita?
-
Healthcare5 months agoMapped: Life Expectancy in Major Economies
Which countries have the highest and lowest life expectancies at birth?
-
Markets7 months agoRanked: Government Debt Across Major Economies
Based on data from the IMF’s World Economic Outlook, which countries have the highest and lowest government debt ratios?
-
Markets8 months agoRanked: The World’s Most Sustainable Economies in 2024
Based on the Hinrich Foundation’s 2024 Sustainable Trade Index, which economies are the most and least sustainable?
-
Oil and Gas1 year agoHow Oil Is Adding Fuel to Geopolitical Fragmentation
Which countries and regions decreased, banned, or increased Russian oil imports following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine?
-
Politics1 year agoThe Start of De-Dollarization: China’s Gradual Move Away from the USD
The de-dollarization of China’s trade settlements has begun. What patterns do we see in USD and RMB use within China and globally?
-
Politics1 year agoThe Bloc Effect: International Trade with Geopolitical Allies on the Rise
Rising geopolitical tensions are shaping the future of international trade, but what is the effect on trading among G7 and BRICS countries?
-
Green1 year agoRanked: Resource Dependency Across 30 Major Economies
High resource dependency in trade makes countries more susceptible to market fluctuations and climate change.
-
Misc2 years agoVisualizing the Global Education Gap
This graphic adds visual context to the global education gap, using data from 29 major economies.
-
Money2 years agoRanking the Credit Ratings of Major Economies
This graphic visualizes 30 country’s credit ratings, using data from the 2023 Sustainable Trade Index.
-
Economy2 years agoRanked: The World’s Most Sustainable Economies in 2023
The Sustainable Trade Index 2023 is an annual ranking of the world’s most sustainable economies. View this infographic to see the results.
-
Economy2 years agoVisualizing the Impact of the G20’s Corporate Subsidies
The Hinrich Foundation visualizes the impact of corporate subsidies by G20 nations between 2008 and Q1 2023.
-
Economy2 years agoEconomic Coercion: China’s Leverage in Trade
The Hinrich Foundation explores China’s use of economic coercion and the implications of its control over the solar energy sector.
-
Politics2 years agoRanking the Trade Policies of the G20
We analyze recent trade policies implemented by G20 members to determine whether they are liberalizing or harmful.
-
Green2 years agoGlobal Carbon Markets: Highlights from the Latest Report
We highlight key findings from the Hinrich Foundation’s latest report on carbon markets, produced in partnership with Visual Capitalist.
-
Green2 years agoRanked: Air Pollution by Economy
Which economies have hazy air, and which ones enjoy mostly clear skies? Find out in this geographic breakdown of air pollution levels.
-
Politics2 years agoMapped: Geopolitical Risk by Economy
Prior to invading Ukraine, Russia had one of the highest levels of geopolitical risk. How does geopolitical uncertainty vary around the world?
-
Economy2 years agoRanked: Harmful Tariffs by Economy
The U.S. has by far the most harmful tariffs, with nearly 5,000 in force. Which economy has the least tariffs?
-
Business2 years agoInterested in a Career in Global Trade?
Global trade is growing across regions and countries which is creating an explosion in new jobs and education opportunities.
-
Economy3 years agoIntroducing the 2022 Sustainable Trade Index
See which economies have the most sustainable trade policies in the Hinrich Foundation’s 2022 Sustainable Trade Index.
-
Economy3 years agoGlobal Trade Series: Fragmentation in the Digital Economy
In this infographic, we examine the current state of digital fragmentation and it’s implications on the world.
-
Economy3 years agoGlobal Trade Series: Asia’s Digital Economy
Asia’s digital economy is expanding quicker than ever, but cooperation between governments is needed to reduce barriers.
-
Economy3 years agoGlobal Trade Series: The Benefits of Free Trade
Free trade is a powerful engine for economic growth, but rising protectionism stands in the way. See what the data says in this infographic.
Keep your files stored safely and securely with the SanDisk 2TB Extreme Portable SSD. With over 69,505 ratings and an impressive 4.6 out of 5 stars, this product has been purchased over 8K+ times in the past month. At only $129.99, this Amazon’s Choice product is a must-have for secure file storage.
Help keep private content private with the included password protection featuring 256-bit AES hardware encryption. Order now for just $129.99 on Amazon!
Help Power Techcratic’s Future – Scan To Support
If Techcratic’s content and insights have helped you, consider giving back by supporting the platform with crypto. Every contribution makes a difference, whether it’s for high-quality content, server maintenance, or future updates. Techcratic is constantly evolving, and your support helps drive that progress.
As a solo operator who wears all the hats, creating content, managing the tech, and running the site, your support allows me to stay focused on delivering valuable resources. Your support keeps everything running smoothly and enables me to continue creating the content you love. I’m deeply grateful for your support, it truly means the world to me! Thank you!
|
BITCOIN
bc1qlszw7elx2qahjwvaryh0tkgg8y68enw30gpvge Scan the QR code with your crypto wallet app |
|
DOGECOIN
D64GwvvYQxFXYyan3oQCrmWfidf6T3JpBA Scan the QR code with your crypto wallet app |
|
ETHEREUM
0xe9BC980DF3d985730dA827996B43E4A62CCBAA7a Scan the QR code with your crypto wallet app |
Please read the Privacy and Security Disclaimer on how Techcratic handles your support.
Disclaimer: As an Amazon Associate, Techcratic may earn from qualifying purchases.
