Luis E. Romero, Contributor
2025-08-27 17:10:00
www.forbes.com
Conceptual illustration of a businessman racing against robot, depiction of human ingenuity challenging technological advancement. Innovation and the quest for excellence in modern business
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“Who’s smarter—humans or AI?” Experts and the general public wrestle with this question daily, but the answer is quite simple and reveals a profound truth about intelligence itself.
Given sufficient time, high-IQ, well-educated humans will always deliver superior solutions to complex problems—at least for now. In other words, we humans are smarter than AI when tasks require extended deliberation and collaboration among experts. Yet, AI’s lightning-fast responses to specific questions seduce us in ways that expose our deepest cognitive biases. Speed has become the new currency of perceived intelligence, perfectly aligned with our culture of instant gratification and quick wins.
We tend to overestimate AI’s reasoning abilities when pressed for time. And in a world where time is money, conditions are ripe for a perfect storm of greed, deceit, and willful gullibility—all in the hope of getting ahead faster than the rest. This is already leading mass audiences into a fundamental misjudgment of facts and knowledge that could reshape how we value real human expertise in an AI-driven world.
The Hidden Cost of Choosing Speed Over Deliberation
This preference for speed over accuracy isn’t merely an academic concern—it’s already reshaping critical decisions across industries. Recent research shows that executives using generative AI made significantly worse predictions than those who relied on traditional deliberation methods. The AI made them more optimistic in their forecasts, while peer discussions encouraged the caution that leads to better outcomes.
In healthcare, finance, and hiring, we’re witnessing a dangerous trend: AI systems consistently display overconfidence, making decisions with certainty even when the underlying data is insufficient or flawed. Unlike humans, who might express doubt or seek second opinions, AI systems never doubt themselves, making mistakes with unwavering confidence. This creates what researchers call “deceptive expertise”—systems that appear knowledgeable but fundamentally lack the self-awareness to recognize their limitations.
The Human Advantage: Multiple Feedback Loops
Let’s use Large Language Models (LLMs) as a test subject to compare human and AI intelligence. While both human brains and LLMs process information to reach conclusions, their underlying verification mechanisms reveal a fundamental difference in how intelligence operates.
High-IQ, well-educated humans deploy sophisticated verification mechanisms during complex reasoning. Cognitive science’s dual-process theory shows that we think using a fast, intuitive process known as System 1 and a slow, analytical process known as System 2. System 1 works as an automatic, intuitive mechanism that responds immediately to the stimulus. System 2 brings intentional control and metacognitive monitoring—the ability to think about one’s thinking—which creates multiple verification cycles.
What makes human reasoning particularly powerful is its recursive nature. When tackling complex problems, we don’t just process information once—we cycle through it repeatedly, each time refining our understanding. Research shows that while AI excels at data-driven analysis, humans consistently outperform AI in scenarios requiring intuition, ethical judgment, and strategic foresight, dynamically adjusting their approach based on contextual understanding and uncertainty—precisely the areas where metacognitive awareness becomes crucial.
When faced with complex problems, human experts engage in recursive feedback loops that involve:
These processes operate through what researchers call an “imagery-rehearsal architecture”—a system that cycles between intuitive responses and reflective analysis, continuously refining understanding through multiple iterations. Crucially, humans excel at recognizing when they’ve reached the limits of their knowledge—a skill that proves essential in high-stakes decisions.
LLM Limitations: Insufficient Verification Architecture
LLMs, despite their impressive abilities, operate with dramatically fewer verification mechanisms. Research reveals that LLMs demonstrate significant limitations in metacognitive abilities crucial for medical decision-making, meaning they struggle to recognize knowledge gaps, modulate confidence, and know when to stop due to insufficient information.
The implications extend far beyond individual decisions. In business environments where AI is increasingly relied upon for strategic planning, these limitations create systemic risks. AI excels in data-heavy, rule-based environments but struggles with judgment calls, ethical reasoning, and strategic foresight—precisely the areas where business leadership matters most.
Techniques like self-verification or chain-of-thought prompting aim to improve this, but remain superficial compared to humans. LLM limitations include:
Why Human Experts Still Win
Research reveals that LLMs demonstrate significant limitations in metacognitive abilities, showing poor performance in recognizing unanswerable questions and managing uncertainty—gaps that explain why humans outperform LLMs given enough time. The human brain’s recursive processing, supported by neural connectivity and metacognitive control, enables more thorough error detection and alternative exploration.
The evidence is mounting across domains. Research shows that humans excel at subtasks involving contextual understanding and emotional intelligence, while AI systems excel at subtasks that are repetitive, high-volume, or data-driven. The key difference lies in humans’ ability to recognize the boundaries of their own knowledge—a metacognitive skill that allows them to seek additional information, consult colleagues, or acknowledge uncertainty when stakes are high.
This self-awareness creates a paradox in AI adoption. For example, while people increasingly trust AI for tasks like performance evaluations because they believe it will eliminate human bias, they’re essentially trading human fallibility for AI overconfidence. Further, this assumes AI systems are actually free from the biases present in their training data, which is illogical. The irony is that humans’ awareness of their own potential biases—the very thing that makes people distrust human judgment—is precisely what makes human experts more reliable in complex scenarios requiring nuanced reasoning, but only when they actively work to counteract those biases.
The Path Forward
The choice between the depth, duration, and stamina of human deliberation and AI speed isn’t binary—it’s about understanding when each approach serves us best. Recent experiments in human-AI collaboration show that the most effective systems combine AI’s rapid data processing with human oversight for complex judgment calls.
Making AI more humanlike requires LLMs to integrate deeper metacognitive frameworks, richer working memory, and genuinely recursive verification cycles. Until then, the edge remains with humans—not in sheer processing power, but in the sophistication of their self-monitoring and error correction loops.
The question that will define the future of humanity isn’t who’s smarter –humans or AI—but whether we’re wise enough to resist the allure of speed flawlessly provided by AI when the stakes demand the slower, deliberate, recursive intelligence that only humans can deliver. In a world increasingly dominated by split-second decisions and the relentless pursuit of profit, our survival may depend on defending the value of taking time to think.
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