Dorothy Neufeld
2025-09-01 08:05:00
www.visualcapitalist.com
When Each Country Will Reach Its Population Peak
This was originally posted on our Voronoi app. Download the app for free on iOS or Android and discover incredible data-driven charts from a variety of trusted sources.
Key Takeaways
- China, Germany, and Japan have all reached peak population by 2024, based on analysis from the UN.
- Across 48 countries, populations are projected to peak between 2025 and 2054, representing 10% of the world population.
- Meanwhile, 126 countries are forecast to grow through 2054, including India, Pakistan, Nigeria, and America.
Today, at least one in two countries globally have fertility rates below the 2.1 replacement level.
Going further, women bear one child fewer, on average, than around 1990. Paired with aging populations, this suggests that several countries have already hit their population peak, according to the latest analysis from the UN.
This graphic shows global population peak by country, based on data from the UN World Population Prospects 2024 report.
A Timeline of Global Population Peak
Below, we show population peak projections across 237 countries worldwide. This outlook by the UN include fertility, mortality, and immigration forecasts.
Country | Population Peak Category |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaked by 2024 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Peaking between 2025 and 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
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Growing through 2054 |
Notably, more than a quarter of the global population live in countries that are shrinking in population size including Japan, Cuba, Germany, and China.
In Japan, 30% of the population is aged 65 or older, the highest rate globally after Monaco. Today, 43 countries are considered “super-aged”, where the senior population makes up at least 20% of the population.
On the other hand, immigration will be a primary driver of population growth in countries like the U.S. and Canada, despite record-low fertility rates. Overall, 52 countries are projected to grow through 2054 largely due to national immigration policies.
Meanwhile, high fertility rates and younger demographics are set to propel growth in 126 countries, with many of these being among the world’s most populous. India, Pakistan, and Indonesia all fall within this group.
Learn More on the Voronoi App 
To learn more about this topic, check out this graphic on the countries with the largest senior population in 2025 and beyond.
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